50:50 Chance of New Zealand this Weekend
Moby | 29/7/2004well, if you count:
A yes or no answer from:
My boss & workmate agreeing to let me take friday off work & not help with a major upgrade on saturday.
I’m not sure why I am feeling so positive. I guess because I want it to happen so badly.
Its a bank holiday monday – so that would make a 4 day weekend!
Jamie kindly keeps reminding me EVERY WEEKEND how good the snow is, txting or calling me from the mountain.
Fingers crossed, I will have a YES tomorrow! Tickets are still reasonably priced too! ~350 return!
Dreaming of Ruapehu…
And I will defiantely do the crater lake walk – I want to see it, to say I was there x weeks before one of the largest natural disasters in NZ’s history repeats itself. Tangiwai Disaster
How likely is it to happen?
“Since March 1999 the level of the crater lake on Mt Ruapehu has risen 52m and is now 96% full giving cause for concern for an early lahar – Volcanic mudslide…
The crater lake has a 7 m high wall of ash atop its rim and with the current water level 1.9m below the rim, scientists predict that at current water inflow rate of 5,300cu m a day a lahar could be expected as early as November.” March 04 – summary from Stuff.co.nz article
Full threat analysis – Ruapehu Lahar Residual Risk Assessment. Oct 2002
Quite interesting reading.
No real way to stop lahars on Mt Ruapehu, so
Moby | 19/12/2004No real way to stop lahars on Mt Ruapehu, so DOC and Government focusing on public safety instead
19 December 2004
The Department of Conservation says a significant lahar on Ruapehu is unlikely to happen before Christmas.
DOC scientist Harry Keys says unseasonably cold weather and a good dumping of snow is slowing the melting into the lake. But although there are seven to eight metres to go before the lake breaches the outlet, scientists are not taking any chances.
Harry Keys says Mount Ruapehu is an active volcano and that means the ongoing risk of lahars, so DOC and the government have made plans to keep people out of harm’s way. If warm weather does arrive this summer, DOC warns there could be a major lahar in the next couple of months.